Blog Post

Black Friday UK - a £1 Billion Returns Problem

  • By Andy Craig
  • 30 Nov, 2016

Is the increasing use of Mobiles exacerbating the great return problem?

Over the last weekend in the UK – the “Black Friday Weekend”, estimates of sales volumes indicated a total spend of approximately £2.3 Billion on Friday alone, and circa £5 billion over the whole weekend through to Monday.

The increasing use of smartphones, enabled by both larger screen sizes and better mobile interface with retailer websites, resulted in a marked increase in purchases made by mobile, with some estimates showing mobile purchases ahead of those made by desktop for the first time; and a substantial overall majority of website visits being made from mobiles.

At first glance, this looks promising for retailers as sales were ahead of prior years, and the proportion of onlines sales continued to grow – all warmly welcomed by stock markets and traders alike.

But underneath, the news that an estimated 20% of all purchases will be returned by customers is a frightening statistic. The negative implications of this activity are massive. Not only is the sales bubble affected by many low margin special offers to entice customers - lowering the overall margin achieved during this single weekend, but the cost of handling and processing such volumes of returns will be many times the value of the margin originally achieved.

For all sellers the cost impact for handling returns for any reason cannot be underestimated. Each returned item will have to be checked for quality, in many cases repacked, and then if ok, put back into stock on an individual basis. Many products are likely to be writen off, or sold off at a loss, as they can no longer be regarded as being in pristine condition for resale. The actual cost to the reseller of processing a return is also significant.

The hunting down of the original transaction and processing of the financial credit is time consuming, and the time taken to return a single item back to its stocking or retail space location is typically twice the cost of picking it originally.

From a vendor management and replenishment perspective, it is unlikely that many retailers would have a single supplier that accounts for 20% of their merchandising range. Yet with a volume of returns running at this level, companies will need to consider treating their product returns process as their single biggest priority vendor – albeit that the goods are booked in and restocked in a single item basis, and not in pallet quantities.

Overall, it is not difficult to believe that the cost to the seller of receiving and restocking a return will typically be somewhere between two to three times the orginal cost of stocking, selling and despatching the product.

There is also a substantial environmental impact. The returns volume not only accounts for 20% of outbound delivery mileage, but of course is doubled for the return mileage, whether goods are returned by carrier or by additional customer trips back to the shops. An incredible, substantial negative carbon footprint impact.

For all businesses, understanding the true cost of returns, and and working methodically to reduce the cause of returns is of paramount importance. Indicatively, a reduction in returns could financially significantly outweigh the advantage gained by increased margin from incremental sales growth – by a factor of two plus.

Three thoughts for consideration

  • Is the quality of data available for and through mobile devices is a contributory cause of additional levels of returns? Would be interested to hear of anyone who has measured returns level by channel by cause over recent months – comparing the “Black Friday Weekend” against the current norm.

  • There must be a consideration for retailers to consider charging a small re-stocking fee for non fault returns to defray the cost and possibly encourage wiser purchasing habits.

  • And if many of the returns anticipated will not take place until after Christmas, (and stock technically not available for sale or resale for four weeks), the financial reporting of many businesses whose year finishes at the end of December could be substantially affected by the necessary provisions needed for anticipated credits and stock value increase in the new year.

 

Contact Cygnus Business - to review the cost impact of returns within your business.

Cygnus Business - working with growing companies to improve business effectiveness and grow sales and profitability. www.cygnusbusiness.com. Are we LinkedIn?

© Cygnus Business Limited 2016

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