Blog Post

Can AI even out extreme trading peaks?

  • By Andy Craig
  • 16 Nov, 2018

Alibaba technology handled £24Bn+ in one single day

The recent Singles Day in China has set yet another record for Alibaba, who reported a gross sales value of ¥213.5 Billion Yuan (£24.3 Billion) passing through its portals.

Although sales growth rate was reported as having declined (down from 36% in 2017 to “just” 27% in 2018), this still represents a massive volume uplift in excess of ¥45.3 Billion Yuan (£5.1 Billion).

Originally set up in 1999 as a B2B portal providing direct access between Chinese manufacturing and overseas customers, the business expanded in 2003 to include the C2C marketplace Taobao, and in 2008 the B2C online retail TMall. In March 2018 the group had a reported annual turnover of 250 Billion Yuan (£28.4 Billion).

 

For Alibaba, who are currently estimated to have over 55% of the Chinese market, (eMarketer) the step changes in value are immense, even within an economy with GDP that continues to grow in excess of 6.5% in 2018.

With the growth in value there is of course a directly representative growth in volume of transactions, throughout the whole of the supply-chain, which impacts on every aspect of the business.

The resilience of the technology, and the capacity needed to handle such massive volumes is quite simply enormous, and again this demonstrates the integral strength that Alibaba and other e-commerce-based businesses in China are building into their systems.

 

With Supply Chains becoming ever more integrated, the transaction data volume needs to be handled through every stage of the process, with demands made from manufacturing right through to inventory, payment processing and logistics, and its critical that each element of the process can cope with and handle these same volumes.

For businesses developing new e-commerce solutions and tools to assist their business growth there is a certain attraction in partnering with Alibaba and its own technology providers, due to both the ongoing continuing investment and volume capacity capability, but also because of the growing investment in AI and every aspect of the supply-chain expertise. Large product ranges, multiple vendors and fast changing demand patterns require maximum efficiency throughout every aspect of the supply-chain and enabling vendors to have good visibility of demand significantly contributes to better fulfilment.

Increasing use of AI to provide live-time focussed information enables sellers to manipulate product offering and price driven by demand, availability and competition, all of which adds to the ability to further influence marketing decisions and consumer spend, and feed demand data back into the supply chain.

Future trend?

Although the technology is proven capable of handling current and future transactional volume growth, and best in class performance, there are aspects of the Supply Chain, delivery logistics and manufacturing that are suffering from this spectacular sales volume peak.

Delivery centres and delivery vehicles are literally buried under the volume of orders requiring fulfilment, and for most of November all aspects of these operations are under severe strain. For any organisation, having to handle volume fluctuations that can often be as much as 10 times the annual average daily rate is a real challenge.

Perhaps in future the better use and application of AI in this arena will be used to spread out the consumer spend over a much wider period, creating demand at multiple frequent events throughout the year, and the future success of e-commerce will be judged on using this advanced technology being able to achieve similar overall levels of business growth that are profitable, sustainable and manageable, rather than on a single day.

China is committed to developing a world class leading AI business sector with a market value in excess of 1 trillion Yuan by 2030, having invested ¥162 Billion in 2017, and ¥258 Billion in the first half of 2018 (Tsinghua University). China Money Network recently published their top 50 AI Companies, including 14 “Unicorns” – start-ups with a valuation in excess of ¥6 Billion.

Alibaba currently invests in many different AI businesses, and stated in 2017 a ¥95 Billion investment plan over the next three years as part of their research programme called the Alibaba Academy for Discovery, Adventure, Momentum and Outlook. 

Contact Cygnus Business to help develop clear #B2B e-commerce strategy and business requirements for your business.

Cygnus Business - working with growing companies to improve business effectiveness, enhancing sales and profitability. www.cygnusbusiness.com. Are we LinkedIn?

© Cygnus Business Limited November 2018

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